Forex trading currency markets Pachinko trades Japanese candlestick charts for profitable FX money income trade. Learn the fast buy/sell techniques with spot market positions
Friday, December 30, 2016
Gamers Are Better Forex Day Traders
The one thing about playing games is you learn to shut off your emotions.
I cannot count how many hours I plunged into racing games in the arcades ruthlessly trying to hunt the clock down by tenths of a second. Slamming my foot down on the pedal I almost tried to break the game again and again tirelessly.Every second of the course I could memorize. The brain works tirelessly to memorize every fraction of a second so that I know exactly when to decelerate on taking a corner and come out flying in 5th gear. I would pray for forgiveness to my girlfriend and my friends girlfriends who had to stand by behind us in the arcades for hours on end and just cheer us on as we hunted the clock down again and again and again with greater perfection. The brain shuts off all emotion and sensibility and only the pure logic of a sequence of moves performed in split seconds made the difference between winning and losing.
The human brain is remarkable. You perform a task and then the neurons in the brain connect through chemical interaction transmitting commands and retaining feedback from the result which collects into a memory. the more you repeat the task then the stronger the neural pathway becomes and the more neurons become integrated into the process of repetition. The exercise of memorizing certain moves in sequence during a racing game speeds up the way the brain absorbs the visual data and then implements an action. In the process the brain formulates its own independence of decision -making as the game hunts down the clock to record the faster speed.
The gamer does not need 5 voices from behind to tell the gamer to shift down from 5th to 4th gear. Similarly, the gamer trader does not need pundits to tell him to do this and that. More than half of the pundits are useless and dead wrong anyway. A gamer trader, just as in the case of car racing, builds hours of experience through pattern recognition. the more and more you stare at the patterns and watch the movement of the candles then the more likely the neurons will collect in your brain and retain the memory for random access when you observe a sudden repetition.
In this sense arcade gamers become ruthlessly logical day traders in the forex markets. They shut off their emotions and they do not listen to anyone. They don't need pundits and they certainly don't need a multitude of technical charts. Hardly any of these gamer traders now rising would get into MIT. But they would thrash an MIT grad any time when it comes to the art of making money in the forex markets because they have spent hours building up their predator instinct which enables them to carve small pips here and there in short bursts.
Some people call it a 6th sense. in truth; it is just hours and hours of recorded information building a mass of neurons that process data lightning fast and helps the gamer trader take a decision in the blink of an eye. of course in the long run if you are a position trader looking for days and weeks as your horizon then technical information becomes handy. But if you are a day trader and if you depend too much upon technical information then you might just miss the swing of the mood as a market reversal suddenly occurs in a few seconds. the gamer trader instinctively reacts faster because he has amassed more neurons to record the patterns in his brain.
Simply watching the flow of prices in a day helps your brain to identify the pattern of movement.
Hours and hours of reading and education did not help me to become a good day trader. But by simply watching human emotions the brain comes to understand the patterns of price action and is able to determine a response just as faster than anyone who spent hours reading books.
Thursday, December 29, 2016
Bringing Down The Forex House
Bringing Down the Forex House in Asia
They're young, they're 18 -21 years old, they sit in their bedrooms, they chew noodles and
they bring the house down every single time and they are usually millionaires in Yen and Won and they do the hardest part. Then they they go out and blow all their money in expensive nightclubs but who cares anyway? They're young and they're arrogant but they will make the money again tomorrow again and again.
The Asian gamer trader is rising fast and with 5G around the corner and with China and India rising the forex trading distribution will soon be shared by Asia and Europe together. Certainly in the retail forex markets the Asian trader will become more predominant in the next 2-3 years and the age is getting younger and younger as a new generation of traders rise with a brutal efficiency to take on the forex world.
In truth 90% of the retails traders out there today have no real idea how the
structure of the retail forex market works and that is why they consistently
lose. So now I am going to break it down for you and hopefully you will take
this understanding and become a better day trader for it.
Firstly, although hugely unregulated and non-descript, the forex
spot market consists of about 80% bank commercial users, 15% large fund speculators
and 5% non banking small retail forex customers . The commercial banks which dominate the forex
landscape are merely buying and selling under instruction for importers and
institutional investors and therefore in an interbank market a bank is always
making a bid-offer spread and booking profits countless times per day as
customer orders come in. They do no use technical data as the mainstay of their
transactional business. Herein lies the significant contrast where small retail
forex traders cannot even make a move without reference to a smattering of
elect technical indicators to justify their trade. Hence there is a failure to
understand how the market works by the small retail trader.
Secondly, The FX platform provider is your house very much
like a casino. The platform company has a line of credit with one or two major
international commercial banks. A platform provider with 20,000 customers is
likely to have an open line of credit of 20 million Dollars. Now, for
illustration purposes lets imagine that the line of credit comes from Barclays
Bank to the Platform Company. This line
of credit is paired with a quotation service which Barclays will provide to all
it’s commercial customers which again is based upon it’s institutional price
quote in the dealer market as quoted on Reuters and Bloomberg. That quote
service to corporate customers is the basis upon which the Platform company
will but and sell currencies to take the opposite side of their own customer
orders through their own quotation service which is usually time lagged. So, essentially
the Platform price a retail customer is using is time lagged behind the main
price action of the bank dealer market. Here the small trader is really at the mercy
of the Platform provider to enter the trade at a time and price dictated by the
Platform provider and failure to recognize this can become detrimental to the
small trader’s longevity
Thirdly, Bank dealers in the interbank market are very much
like the gamer traders that are emerging with the young people in that they are
only concerned with what happens here and now as against any consideration of
the past and the future. Bank dealers have no time to overload themselves with
technical data and the new gamer traders who grew up on Naruto and other such
online games are not going to waste a split second in determining where the action
lies. Years of gaming have improved eye skills in understanding game play.
Looking at the 5 or 15 minute forex charts without consideration of massive amounts of technical data and the very first thing you notice is how the market moves in waves in rhythm as buyers gain strength and fade before the sellers. The only reference gamer traders keep in mind is the day chart because although trends can show up on day charts, within every 5 and 15 minutes you cannot expect prices to move up or down in a straight line, hence your window an ‘Mado’ to trade without emotion whenever pressure builds and eases off.
We are human after all and the trader that can know the wave
of human emotions is able to bring the house down. Since 9 out of every 10
traders lose in the long run then the house doesn’t really care if it yields a
dollar to a smart gamer trader waiting to pick that 1 Dollar up every single time. The new 21 something Asian trader has a staggering level of confidence to trade as i have never witnessed before an if they do not spend hours pouring over technical charts they're certainly staring at the movement of candles for any possible reversal as moods change and then they will pounce on the trade with ruthless efficiency and book a profit.
Then they go blow their money on their drinks, girlfriends, clothes watches and cars but they will return again because they know that the FX market is about reading human emotions. They get mad at night, they scream at police officers, they are petulant; but they know how to make money. They do not depend on anyone else to make a trading judgement. They can take a decision win or lose and move on to the next trade. Understanding how emotions work in a market is the key to a successful career in day trading forex. They don't need to work for banks and hedge funds. They're already stars in their own right and don't need to be bossed about and shown how to trade. They have transferred their eagle-eye gaming skills to the real money making arena and for every one gamer trader they're beating the hell out of the other 9 traders on the retail platform because they can ruthlessly switch from buy to sell as they move with the rhythm of the 5 and 15 minute candles.
Tuesday, December 27, 2016
There is no past and there is no future for the gamer FX Trader
Why do 90% of traders fail in the first 6 months?
1. Because they are preoccupied with a flawed analysis of the past
2. Because they try to the base the future upon the past but the future can be anything
A gamer trader already knows all permutations of the past and all possibilities of the future.
A gamer trader only lives for the now and in that living for the now he can identify with the true market pulse and flow with the wave of human emotions.
Bank dealers buy into selling pressure and sell into buying pressure and make spreads and cut their profits every single time because they only live in the here and the now. Equally the new generation of gamer traders are young and bold and they have no time for information overload and technical analysis but their skills are honed in for the only moment that counts and that is now. The gamer trader does not clog his mind with tons of technical information so much so that he spends hours deliberating a trading decision.
Tokyo open GBP/ USD 22.12.2016:
Watch the waves again and again and feel the rhythm as human emotions move the market and then bring it to an utter halt. Know this pulse and you have won half the battle to becoming a very good trader if only you can live just for the here and now.
Thursday, December 22, 2016
Gamers Make The Best FX traders
University degrees and MBAs do not prepare you for your life as a trader. That's a fact.
If I was running a hedge fund I would take 10 kids from the gaming arcades every single day over top university graduates.
It is scientifically proven that a person who drives a car for twenty years has faster instinctive data assimilation, pattern recognition and consequential action and more likely to avert a collision than a new driver. The same goes for computer gaming. These sharp kids who grew up in the arcades and played online at home have sharper reflexes to become a day traders. we are regularly reading stories of teen traders who quickly accumulate modest fortunes as they transfer their skill set into a new arena where you can actually make money; and they're reveling in it.
The problems with the degree holders is they read too much into the market. They refer to their Bollinger Bands and countless studies and by the time it comes to a trading decision they are swamped with information overload. The gamer, in contrast, does not read the stochastics and divergence indicators and a ton of technical studies. The gamer closes his eye for a second, feels the beauty of the market forces at war, and then opens his eyes to a world of rhythm. Just watching candlestick charts in free flow without any reference to a technical study, will reveal a world of pure movement. Watch this movement over days and your brain will start to form pattern recognition plans. Allow the brain to feel the market pulse and flow with it. Do not read too much or you face the danger of taking other peoples opinions and reading different interpretations into the market action.
Feel the market pulse and let your mind flow with the opposing forces of selling and buying.
Shogun Total War Video
Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Don't Hang Out For The Big Trades And Pick Up The Little Cherries
A man may ride a donkey but at least the donkey is heading in a direction!
If you're a day trader do not hang out for the big waves. You do not need to wait for key announcements that can take you 150 pips up or minus 150 pips if you get it wrong. Tsunami trading can hurt you.
The pairs that I monitor every day are -
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/JPY
EUR/JPY
CHF/JPY
GBP/JPY
USD/CHF
EUR/GPP
and crude oil
Capture 20 pips on 15 min charts for 3 candles after a signal or 45 mins and multiply that by 5/8 and youre likely to gain 100 pips versus 3 wrong trades of - 10 pips x 3 or - 30 pips.
Therefore net 70 pips can be booked regularly daily without even having to face a 50/50 prospect of a windfall or a wipe-out on a market data release.
Trade modestly as a day trader and you can pick up these cherries regularly as you see the patterns repeat over and over again.
Trade small and accumulate in the long run.
Happy trading!
Typical Tokyo Morning
Even at a pre-Christmas week with thinning volatility the following shapes and patterns are typical of a Tokyo morning.
The one thing a spot trader cannot do is trade if prices are going nowhere. great news if you're an options seller but most readers are not as sophisticated in putting $10,000 Dollars capital as a tie-in keeping in ind that you should never ever ever expose more than 5% your total capital on any one single trade.
So the greatest way to catch a move is to watch Tokyo open because by the time the FX markets drift into the California West Coast zone everyone just wants to switch off.
So here goes a typical Tokyo morning where sharp traders can each 20-30 pips each time. Not a lot you may think but hang on and hold that thought. Day in, day out capture these little 20-30 pip moves and they all stack u[ into a tidy pile which will then help you to escalate your trading scale. So take note of the little things in the FX markets if you want to succeed.
Little makes BIG.
Here's 3 - 15 minute charts:
The one thing a spot trader cannot do is trade if prices are going nowhere. great news if you're an options seller but most readers are not as sophisticated in putting $10,000 Dollars capital as a tie-in keeping in ind that you should never ever ever expose more than 5% your total capital on any one single trade.
So the greatest way to catch a move is to watch Tokyo open because by the time the FX markets drift into the California West Coast zone everyone just wants to switch off.
So here goes a typical Tokyo morning where sharp traders can each 20-30 pips each time. Not a lot you may think but hang on and hold that thought. Day in, day out capture these little 20-30 pip moves and they all stack u[ into a tidy pile which will then help you to escalate your trading scale. So take note of the little things in the FX markets if you want to succeed.
Little makes BIG.
Here's 3 - 15 minute charts:
EUR/ USD crashing through the 1.05 last night on close of US session as US traders throw in the towel. Two Bearish Engulfing red candles hammered the faintest revival earlier in New York. Then typically the market goes to sleep and drifts aimlessly in a tight range. Prior to Tokyo open the early Japan traders attempt a Fibonacci retracement as a typical reaction to the previous US session. After a good 4 hours of quiet the market has to take direction and 20-30 pips are instantly captured.
GBP/USD once again a Bearish Engulfing candle set up a wave of destruction as the shorts carried the close of US session. The market drifted and narrowed. Then Big Bang. After entropy comes movement and the currency pair is hoisted in early Tokyo session and another good 20-30 pips are captured.
USD/JPY fails to inspire on market open just to go to show also that sometimes the lack of direction can drift through Tokyo morning although at the time of writing volatility is starting to increase in range though no clear cut signal has shown itself to enter a trade.
On the whole of 6-8 currency pair majors you can expect 5/8 to take a direction after a lack of direction prior to Tokyo open.
The chart repetition occurs over and over again. Recognizing the chart patterns could mean he difference between success and failure. there is a time to trade and a time not to trade. wait for the window to open.
Trading Tokyo open is far more profitable than trading Europe open because Europe follows on huge activity of Asia and more uncertainty creeps in but Tokyo awakens to a few hours of drifting quiet. Europe follows Asia's market noise. There is very little noise at US close. Therefore quiet and stillness is surely to be followed by noise on Tokyo open. The logic prevails. You trade the noise, you avoid the quiet.
Know your Mado.
Happy Trading !
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Narrow Range 4 Inside Bar (NR4/IB) Trade Set Up
Apart from the Bullish and Bearish Engulfing patterns on 15 min charts one of the most exciting prospects is the NR4/IB where the market stalls like a motor car engine and just needs to kick-start from a state of entropy to hyper-inflation. Big Bang moment.
Spot the NR4/IB on today's 15 min CHF/ JPY. The trade setup came in prior to Tokyo open.
many Tokyo traders just love to get in there early and take advantage of directionless trading hoping to catch a big wave on Tokyo open.
The criteria for NR4 is that the preceding 4 candle bodies must be of same size or narrower and then the 4th or 5th body must become an inside bar and usually the color of the last body is an indicator of which way the market will surge.
Remember to trade 15 min charts within context of day charts and in particular the 50 and 200 day moving average.
Keep your eyes peeled.
Friday, December 9, 2016
3 charts on the GBP/JPY and how to trade Asia Euro time zones effectively
In the long run we seek rational order and balance; the sheer chaos of conflicting ideas makes us giddy and we grope for some sane anchor to pin down our belief systems and shape our confidence.
Now turning our attention to the Forex markets even a day in the global calendar can seem a lifetime and so when we search for rationality we more or less attempt to frame the day's trading activity against the yearly price range and the 200 day moving average to understand what is going on in the 24 hours we roil and seethe with intense emotion in taking positions.
If we break down the FX clock starting from Japan and Asia we have three major segments starting with Japan then moving across to Europe for the second session and then on to New York for the US session. The bulk of the day trading is completed during Asian and Europe sessions.
Let's take a look at three charts marking the progress of the currency pair GBP/JPY from the morning Asian session to Europe session. The three charts comprise Japanese time 11am - 15.00 am 17.00 for Friday 11th December..
Chart 1 - 15 minute chart
As can be expected Japan overnight was fast asleep but come 6am Japanese traders start entering the market and volatility starts to explode and momentum takes a direction. Entering a trade on Japan open is highly desirable as the session is packed full of action towards it's tail end where it will overlap withe the main market Europe. China HK and Korea adds to the growing regional FX position and liquidity.
Japan session is a good window opportunity to tak a position for any key Europe an US data release if you are a swing trader looking to capitalize on a news release.
Now let's follow to 15.00 hrs the same day yesterday.
Chart 2
Come 15.00 hrs yesterday you will notice a lot of action has happened and we are now entering into a lull in the market which I call the dead zone where it would be unwise to stake a new position. The ideal long trade would have exited around 15.00 hrs prior to Europe open.
So what happens next?
Chart 3
On Europe open the market jolts up with a large green body and larger candle bodies follow to indicate a huge battle of red and green. there is a 45 mins tussle going on where huge money is pouring in to take positions. The Hanging man on the 15 mins chart preceded by a large red body is the straw that breaks the camels back and the market plunges. Traders would have come in with big shorts on the 14th minute on the large red candle following the green hanging man. Two large red bodies follow as price collapses in 30 minutes. But then the small red body over a large line is a serious warning that the market has run out of sellers. The large green body over the next 15 minutes would have seen big longs come into the market. Thus the first two hours of the Europe open presents two brilliant trading opportunities.
The currency markets tend to follow this similar pattern all year round and hence we can understand a rational structure of thin and larger volatility across the two time zones. Work with that volatility in the short term. Feel it's pulse.
As a rule I do not think it's a good idea to take large positions into the US session and try to exit after a key report by 10 am EST. Why? Pigs get slaughtered and the US session has thinner liquidity and you can become stuck into a huge dead zone of directionless trading as you drift towards Japan open. If you want to hang out for the big trade in excess of 100 pips in a day session you are going to get slaughtered. Taking 20 pips here and there over select currency pairs over the Asia and Europe time zone gives you better chance of a 6-4 win ratio. I try to focus 90% my trades during Asia and Europe session.
Always remember past performances are not indicative of future results and 90% of traders do lose because they always read into the markets what is in actuality not there.
Stay well friends
Now turning our attention to the Forex markets even a day in the global calendar can seem a lifetime and so when we search for rationality we more or less attempt to frame the day's trading activity against the yearly price range and the 200 day moving average to understand what is going on in the 24 hours we roil and seethe with intense emotion in taking positions.
If we break down the FX clock starting from Japan and Asia we have three major segments starting with Japan then moving across to Europe for the second session and then on to New York for the US session. The bulk of the day trading is completed during Asian and Europe sessions.
Let's take a look at three charts marking the progress of the currency pair GBP/JPY from the morning Asian session to Europe session. The three charts comprise Japanese time 11am - 15.00 am 17.00 for Friday 11th December..
Chart 1 - 15 minute chart
As can be expected Japan overnight was fast asleep but come 6am Japanese traders start entering the market and volatility starts to explode and momentum takes a direction. Entering a trade on Japan open is highly desirable as the session is packed full of action towards it's tail end where it will overlap withe the main market Europe. China HK and Korea adds to the growing regional FX position and liquidity.
Japan session is a good window opportunity to tak a position for any key Europe an US data release if you are a swing trader looking to capitalize on a news release.
Now let's follow to 15.00 hrs the same day yesterday.
Chart 2
Come 15.00 hrs yesterday you will notice a lot of action has happened and we are now entering into a lull in the market which I call the dead zone where it would be unwise to stake a new position. The ideal long trade would have exited around 15.00 hrs prior to Europe open.
So what happens next?
Chart 3
On Europe open the market jolts up with a large green body and larger candle bodies follow to indicate a huge battle of red and green. there is a 45 mins tussle going on where huge money is pouring in to take positions. The Hanging man on the 15 mins chart preceded by a large red body is the straw that breaks the camels back and the market plunges. Traders would have come in with big shorts on the 14th minute on the large red candle following the green hanging man. Two large red bodies follow as price collapses in 30 minutes. But then the small red body over a large line is a serious warning that the market has run out of sellers. The large green body over the next 15 minutes would have seen big longs come into the market. Thus the first two hours of the Europe open presents two brilliant trading opportunities.
The currency markets tend to follow this similar pattern all year round and hence we can understand a rational structure of thin and larger volatility across the two time zones. Work with that volatility in the short term. Feel it's pulse.
As a rule I do not think it's a good idea to take large positions into the US session and try to exit after a key report by 10 am EST. Why? Pigs get slaughtered and the US session has thinner liquidity and you can become stuck into a huge dead zone of directionless trading as you drift towards Japan open. If you want to hang out for the big trade in excess of 100 pips in a day session you are going to get slaughtered. Taking 20 pips here and there over select currency pairs over the Asia and Europe time zone gives you better chance of a 6-4 win ratio. I try to focus 90% my trades during Asia and Europe session.
Always remember past performances are not indicative of future results and 90% of traders do lose because they always read into the markets what is in actuality not there.
Stay well friends
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Trading 5 and 15 Minute Charts From Inertia To Breakout
Ok, so now here are 2 charts today where we can witness how all things eventually change in time. While many times during the day traders wait for some new data and news to give them a new sense of direction and purpose, there will be always the opportunity for a trade when momentum suddenly builds upwards or downwards.
In the day short term traders can scalp by buying and selling within the framework of a minute. For example the 'buy' on the EUR/USD maybe 1.0635 and the 'sell' 1.0632. The spread would be 3 pips and usually within the space of under 1 minute the price may change to 'buy' 1.0643 and the 'sell' 1.0640. Now if you have bought 1 unit EUR/USD at 1.0635 and if you had sold at 1.0640 in under a minute you may have made 5 pips on the trade. Scalpers thrive on momentum and weigh probabilities of a downward drive or upwards climb scalping all the way every 1 minute. Looking at the 15 minute charts scalpers pretty much understand that a decent run could last up to an hour before it fizzles out. Using these techniques many teen phenomena have emerged the last couple of years and making huge amounts of money in the process.
Lets start with the 5 min chart first.
On the EUR/ USD notice the last 2 red bars. That's 10 minutes where prices dropped from 1.0632 to 1.0625 which is a 5 pip range. Once momentum moves a scalper will sell and buy to close and then sell and buy to close inspecting the rate of change between the last candle and the preceding 5-10 candles on the 5 minute charts. Increases in the rate of change convinces the scalper to pile in and in some cases add more units on the scalp trade by scaling up to exploit profits on the window of momentum.
Lets start at the beginning and look at the 15 minute chart to see how the market developed today 8 hours ago.
As we can see 8 hours ago the market flatlined in a tight range. Notice that the flatline followed an explosive climb with an upwards bias. But all things run out of steam and so commonly the trajectory started to drift.
Now lets look the last 2 hours at the 15 minute chart to see what followed after the flatline.
Now notice that the flatline that followed after an explosive surge then resumed its course upwards over a 2 hr period. the market climbed from 1.06070 to 1.0655 in a massive momentum push.
So the lesson learnt is that with patience if you follow the flatline on inertia, a direction will eventually ensue to the up or downside and then you can capitalize on either by scalping every 1-2 minutes or by trading 5 minute or 15 minute candles.
It often pays to watch with keenness any lull and inertia because a market breakout becomes the essence of an intra-day swing trade. A good FX trader can keenly watch 5-6 strongly liquid majors during the Euro session and pile in trades with regimental stop-losses in place and often conclude a 6-4 winning ratio. Add the pips up in a day and that's significant. Therein lies the basis for many teen phenomena trading today. They simply have the stamina to rake in the trades with a brutal discipline to cut their losses and not think about it.
In the day short term traders can scalp by buying and selling within the framework of a minute. For example the 'buy' on the EUR/USD maybe 1.0635 and the 'sell' 1.0632. The spread would be 3 pips and usually within the space of under 1 minute the price may change to 'buy' 1.0643 and the 'sell' 1.0640. Now if you have bought 1 unit EUR/USD at 1.0635 and if you had sold at 1.0640 in under a minute you may have made 5 pips on the trade. Scalpers thrive on momentum and weigh probabilities of a downward drive or upwards climb scalping all the way every 1 minute. Looking at the 15 minute charts scalpers pretty much understand that a decent run could last up to an hour before it fizzles out. Using these techniques many teen phenomena have emerged the last couple of years and making huge amounts of money in the process.
Lets start with the 5 min chart first.
On the EUR/ USD notice the last 2 red bars. That's 10 minutes where prices dropped from 1.0632 to 1.0625 which is a 5 pip range. Once momentum moves a scalper will sell and buy to close and then sell and buy to close inspecting the rate of change between the last candle and the preceding 5-10 candles on the 5 minute charts. Increases in the rate of change convinces the scalper to pile in and in some cases add more units on the scalp trade by scaling up to exploit profits on the window of momentum.
Lets start at the beginning and look at the 15 minute chart to see how the market developed today 8 hours ago.
As we can see 8 hours ago the market flatlined in a tight range. Notice that the flatline followed an explosive climb with an upwards bias. But all things run out of steam and so commonly the trajectory started to drift.
Now lets look the last 2 hours at the 15 minute chart to see what followed after the flatline.
Now notice that the flatline that followed after an explosive surge then resumed its course upwards over a 2 hr period. the market climbed from 1.06070 to 1.0655 in a massive momentum push.
So the lesson learnt is that with patience if you follow the flatline on inertia, a direction will eventually ensue to the up or downside and then you can capitalize on either by scalping every 1-2 minutes or by trading 5 minute or 15 minute candles.
It often pays to watch with keenness any lull and inertia because a market breakout becomes the essence of an intra-day swing trade. A good FX trader can keenly watch 5-6 strongly liquid majors during the Euro session and pile in trades with regimental stop-losses in place and often conclude a 6-4 winning ratio. Add the pips up in a day and that's significant. Therein lies the basis for many teen phenomena trading today. They simply have the stamina to rake in the trades with a brutal discipline to cut their losses and not think about it.
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Most profitable hours for day trading forex
FX trading can be highly profitable for the disciplined mind whether as a day trading vocation or swing trading position taking over several days.
The most Profitable Hours for FX trading are the Euro session prior to New York cut. In these hours are the greatest depth and liquidity and volatility. You cannot make a profit if a price doesn't move. Usually key US economic announcements start early morning US session and at the back end of the Euro session. All the jockeying for positions takes place prior to a key US announcement. So if you are going to trade forex I would suggest to track the Euro session to the US session opening 1hr. If you track the session volatility for about a month it will become evident that price movements occur rapidly nd therefore you can make money on a good trade. Outside these hours the forex markets tend to drift as the buzz and excitement dies away.
The key to a good trader is consistency. When things go wrong do not waver. Apply your formula for success and markets will change direction as surely as the wind does.When there is volatility the markets can change on a dime so you are not always going to carry a good trade. But with consistent application in the long run you will have more good trades than bad.
The most Profitable Hours for FX trading are the Euro session prior to New York cut. In these hours are the greatest depth and liquidity and volatility. You cannot make a profit if a price doesn't move. Usually key US economic announcements start early morning US session and at the back end of the Euro session. All the jockeying for positions takes place prior to a key US announcement. So if you are going to trade forex I would suggest to track the Euro session to the US session opening 1hr. If you track the session volatility for about a month it will become evident that price movements occur rapidly nd therefore you can make money on a good trade. Outside these hours the forex markets tend to drift as the buzz and excitement dies away.
The key to a good trader is consistency. When things go wrong do not waver. Apply your formula for success and markets will change direction as surely as the wind does.When there is volatility the markets can change on a dime so you are not always going to carry a good trade. But with consistent application in the long run you will have more good trades than bad.
Friday, October 7, 2016
Flash crash trade Pound/ Sterling
Flash Trading
Yes I'm a trader by background but after I saw Pound/ Dollar crash 6% in 2 mins in Asian session i need to point out the dangers of day trading. Computer program trading is becoming more and more autonomous and self-determining and what started as a push became a cascading tsunami and more and more computer sell orders got triggered yesterday on the Pound. Mathematically computers are sifting through key words in news statements and quantifying those words as probabilities and exponential equations. Day trading has got a whole lot harder now because of the automated trading world and i recommend swing trading over 2-3 days using Japanese candlestick day charts is a safer analysis of momentum.
Yes I'm a trader by background but after I saw Pound/ Dollar crash 6% in 2 mins in Asian session i need to point out the dangers of day trading. Computer program trading is becoming more and more autonomous and self-determining and what started as a push became a cascading tsunami and more and more computer sell orders got triggered yesterday on the Pound. Mathematically computers are sifting through key words in news statements and quantifying those words as probabilities and exponential equations. Day trading has got a whole lot harder now because of the automated trading world and i recommend swing trading over 2-3 days using Japanese candlestick day charts is a safer analysis of momentum.
Thursday, September 22, 2016
Anyone Can Be A Successful Trader
So long as a person can become disciplined to learn a system and stick with the system then there is nothing to stop anyone from becoming a successful trader. This is part 2 of the story put together by London hedge fund manager Lex Van Dam how he recruited normal people from all walks of life and turned them into competent traders to match any professional trader in the City. Lex Van Dam proves this point.
Million Dollar Traders part 2
Tuesday, September 20, 2016
Robot v s Human; The Discussion On Artificial Trading
Contrary to what many people think; robotic trade programs without human intervention are not without their own faults. Based upon a set of probabilities upon a series of historic data the robotic program attempts to reach an answer just as fast as the human trader. However, there is a difference. The robotic program is an artificial intelligence and copy of the human mind in function at it's very best. When there is a sudden object in the middle of the road ahead the robotic program may learn to swerve the car upon a quick risk analysis, but the human trader is more likely to take a decision to swerve direction even faster due to the synergistic combination of right and left brain responses. Do computer programs recognize patterns just as well as humans? They may recognize a pattern but when it comes down to interpretation and trading decision an artificial intelligence may lack the intuitive capabilities of a seasoned trader.
In the last two years automated trading has become the rave of discussion on the Internet.
Please read on the FT today the discussion about artificial intelligence and automated trading.
https://www.ft.com/content/84bb5c72-37a9-11e6-9a05-82a9b15a8ee7
Monday, September 19, 2016
The Age Of Information OVERLOAD For The Forex Trader
Actually, I personally think that when it comes to forex trading the Internet has far more damaging influences than positive when it comes to knowledge dissection, analysis and judgement. Why? Because there's so much information out there on the Internet it's mind-boggling. The average trader wants to make a decision; is he going to buy EUR/USD or is he going to sell? Alright; that's pretty simple enough given an analysis of candlestick charts and given that the trader has sufficient understanding of patterns and how they affect the markets. But to most traders that's not enough; they have to refer to ADX, ATR, Bollinger Bands, Elliot Waves, price-envelope theory, MACD, OBV, oscillators, RSI, stochastic, Wiiliams percentage and so on and so on until all the hair splitting analysis takes so long that the petrified trader in the end doesn't know whether to buy or sell because his brain has been fried by the sheer size of information out there.
I'm going to relate to you a bad story now. A friend of mine was once hit on the road by a car at 50 mph in London, UK. The doctors said to her the only reason she lived was because she closed her eyes. if she had kept her eyes open and watched the car hit her the sheer shock of vision would have killed her instantly. It is an unfortunate example that I have to draw upon. Gratefully my friend recovered within a year miraculously. Thank God for her life. But the point I'm tying to make rather starkly is that with so much information out there hurtling at you almost at the speed of light on your broadband optics who is to say that you won't end up like Bambi frozen before the headlights? Because there's just way too much information out there for your brain to rationally process. The more indicators you study then the more time goes by and the more confused you begin to feel. No wonder 90% of new traders implode within 6 months of forex trading. This is because they have not learned to filter out the noise and retain only the most accurate and relevant analysis needed to make a very fast decision. Then their emotions run riot when the mental confusion sinks in. Good traders react fast. By the time you read over all the analysis on the Internet the trade window has long since gone and you're going to end up stressed with the burden of information overload.
But there is a solution; the answer is very simple. Just as simple as Alexander the Great cutting through the mighty and fabled Gordian Knot with his sword. Whether you buy or sell just do it and do not procrastinate with information overload. If it's a mistake, ok, never mind, you win some and you lose some, but do not look at the hurtling information flying in your face. Close your eyes, be silent, meditate in peace and become decisive. If you can understand Japanese candlestick charts as a science of trading then truly you will let your system do all the talking without having to refer to endless technical indicators out there on the Internet.
find inner peace as if you were within the eye of the storm. Unlock the real you of you in the face of boundless information and trade your system methodically and unwavering to success.
Sunday, September 18, 2016
Traders are made; not born
You cannot depend on luck in the world of forex trading. You make your luck through constant learning and education. Traders are not born; there is no natural genius about trading. Trading is a systematic process that can be taught to anyone of any background an upbringing. to illustrate my point watch on Youtube - Million Dollar Traders which is a story about London trader Lex Van Dam who takes people from all walks of life, educates them and then throws them into the trading arena. Just watch very closely how they fare.
The point is that literally anyone can become a trader if they put their back into it and learn the principles.
Please read my Money Science The Trading Revolution for more pointers for your trading plans.
Friday, September 16, 2016
An FX Trading Revolution
Meet the new bad boys who are taking the forex markets by storm. Cold, ruthless and calculating they're just as bad as the young Jesse Livermore who got kicked out of the bucket shops of Boston because he kept bringing down the house. The problems facing Internet platforms is that occasionally they face a consistent winner and since trading is a zero sum game here there is a loser for every winner it is usually the house that has to pay up every time a ruthless Pachinko trader come along. They're young, they're rich and they earned it.
How do they do it?
https://smile.amazon.com/Money-Science-Trading-Revolution-Success-ebook/dp/B01LWJR1PQ/ref=sr_1_1?s=digital-text&ie=UTF8&qid=1473996177&sr=1-1#nav-subnav
This is Money Science - The Trading Revolution.
Traders are not born; they are made.
Sunday, September 11, 2016
Trading NR4/IB
Please study the following GBP/USD 5 min chart.
Inside the blue circle is the Doji star signalling that the amount of buyers in the market equates to the amount of sellers. The open of the 5 minute session is matched with an equal price close on the session. So effectively the price trailed down on the range and up and eventually settled where it opened 5 minutes ago. Now the interpretation of this candle lies in the preceding 4-5 candles which are upwards in motion and exhibiting higher highs.
NR4/IB is defined as a sequence of narrowing ranges to the amount of four candles and then is followed by an inside bar. This is a pregnant pause that can only amount in the price inflation or deflation as the entropy event expands and throws out momentum up or down. The strength of the interpretation of the Doji always must be taken alongside the consideration of the previous 4-5 candles to understand the context of the Doji star. In this case a large move to the upside comes to an inevitable store where no further value can be added to the market. Yin and Yang must be restored. The last buyer has left the room and now more sellers than buyers come to the front.
Friday, September 2, 2016
Two Trick Questions on FX Charts EUR/USD - Money Science principles - Answers
Answer 1 - In the space of 3hrs and 10 minutes how many trade opportunities could you spot in chart 1? The answer was two trades only.
The first trade resulted in an increasing probability that the selling pressure would wear thin and that the market would turn on it's head into a reversal mode and so a 'buy' signal was generated. The second trade would have been initiated as a 'sell' signal once the upwards reversal would have run out of steam as buyers would have tried to push the price back to the 50% Fibonacci on the last downward move. After that the market went flat and neutral. The 'buy' signal would have generated 25 pips and the 'sell' signal 50 pips.
Answer 2 - Why is the following chart so vitally important to understand?
Between points A and B lies all inclusive 9 bars which sum up the difference between success and failure in day trading. The first trade was a 'buy' signal generated. It failed and our stop loss would have been tight at 10-20 pips.
Now this becomes the important point. How many traders will fail because they cannot learn this lesson. What happens next? Most traders feel sore at the loss and will initiate another 'buy' trade 2 bars, or 10 mins, later convinced that the 'buy' trigger that failed was the fore-runner of a bigger 'buy' trigger due to the sideways pricing over the 10 min period.
Wrong!
The successful trader waits and waits and waits for the next signal trade to emerge as selling pressure runs out of steam before the trader can launch a 'buy' trade as the 'buy' signal appears now for an upward price movement and a 100 pip reversal move in the attempt to capture the 50% Fibonacci to the last downward move.
Point A and B determine the difference between succeeding and failing as a day trader. What happens in the 9 bars between the points A and B depends upon 'money science' and 'robotics.'
Trading is a skill that we are not born with but is learned.
If you know why you must fight then you must learn how to fight!
Legal Disclaimer -
http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com// and any website and social media associated with this blog and Bruno Bernard bears no responsibility for the trading actions of its readers. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please read in full - http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer.html
Tuesday, August 30, 2016
Two Trick Questions on FX Charts EUR/USD - Money Science principles
Forex day traders tend to focus on 5 minute bars and tend to focus more acutely on session cuts and news releases for market trend amplifications and confirmations and reversals.
Here are two FX charts on a recent EUR/USD trading session.
Chart 1 - In the space of 3hrs and 10 minutes how many trade opportunities could you spot?
Chart 2 - In the chart below what is the vital link between the green colored candles A and B?
I shall give the answers in the coming weekend. The two answers form part of the critical thinking framework that composes a day trader's trading judgements.
Trading is a skill that we are not born with but is learned.
Legal Disclaimer -
http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com// and any website and social media associated with this blog and Bruno Bernard bears no responsibility for the trading actions of its readers. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please read in full - http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer.html
Here are two FX charts on a recent EUR/USD trading session.
Chart 1 - In the space of 3hrs and 10 minutes how many trade opportunities could you spot?
Chart 2 - In the chart below what is the vital link between the green colored candles A and B?
I shall give the answers in the coming weekend. The two answers form part of the critical thinking framework that composes a day trader's trading judgements.
Trading is a skill that we are not born with but is learned.
Legal Disclaimer -
http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com// and any website and social media associated with this blog and Bruno Bernard bears no responsibility for the trading actions of its readers. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please read in full - http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer.html
Monday, August 29, 2016
CIS The Black Hole Trader
He is an enigma. His name is CIS.
Nobody knows him and he does not want to know
anybody. He is the force that lurks in the shadows like an ominous black hole in space. you cannot see him but you know that he is there. He does not show off. You can pass him by on the streets and never even notice him.
About him we only know three things:
1. He transformed himself from an all night Tokyo video gamer to one of the most powerful individual traders on the planet.
2. He moves markets with his hallmark contrarian style approach.
3. He paid taxes on over ¥6 trillion for the last accounting year earned over trading equities on the Tōshō 東証 and FX products.
Whether it is Seoul, or Tokyo or Hong Kong, perhaps children seek the game arcades as an escape from the rigorous demands of parents and a strict rote-type learning system that is forces upon children from a young age.
Countless times I also sought refuge of the gaming arcades. Rain, snow, bitter cold, oblivious to the conditions, I welcomed the arcade to walk among the throngs of gamers with a cup of Ramen, ラーメン in my hand.
The practice very hard. In the world of role play the hero could die of slay an opponent in a split second with the lightning speed reaction of the fingers. Hardcore games develop incredible speed reflexes and visual anticipation. These are indeed the type of qualities hat would befit a day trader in the currency markets.
CIS is a contrarian swing trader that can throw 50 million Dollars in your face and not blink an eye. Many institutional bank traders have baulked in the face of his tsunami threats for he has become a master of psychology in understanding when to enter his trades when the bank traders are flat out of ideas and inspiration behind the day's prices.
How did he get to where he is now and more importantly what skills enabled him to become such an enormous trader?
Before I go through his trading techniques I want my readers to understand that no individual has any extraordinary gift for trading. The principles of trading are a set of skills that will help you to succeed. They can be learned as much as a child learns to ride a bicycle. But it takes time and considerable practice. it may sound incredible that a Tokyo video gamer has recently become a giant in the world of trading. When I recall the days I spent myself in the arcades, I don't think it's surprising at all.
Legal Disclaimer -
http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com// and any website and social media associated with this blog and Bruno Bernard bears no responsibility for the trading actions of its readers. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please read in full - http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer.html
Nobody knows him and he does not want to know
anybody. He is the force that lurks in the shadows like an ominous black hole in space. you cannot see him but you know that he is there. He does not show off. You can pass him by on the streets and never even notice him.
About him we only know three things:
1. He transformed himself from an all night Tokyo video gamer to one of the most powerful individual traders on the planet.
2. He moves markets with his hallmark contrarian style approach.
3. He paid taxes on over ¥6 trillion for the last accounting year earned over trading equities on the Tōshō 東証 and FX products.
Whether it is Seoul, or Tokyo or Hong Kong, perhaps children seek the game arcades as an escape from the rigorous demands of parents and a strict rote-type learning system that is forces upon children from a young age.
Countless times I also sought refuge of the gaming arcades. Rain, snow, bitter cold, oblivious to the conditions, I welcomed the arcade to walk among the throngs of gamers with a cup of Ramen, ラーメン in my hand.
The practice very hard. In the world of role play the hero could die of slay an opponent in a split second with the lightning speed reaction of the fingers. Hardcore games develop incredible speed reflexes and visual anticipation. These are indeed the type of qualities hat would befit a day trader in the currency markets.
CIS is a contrarian swing trader that can throw 50 million Dollars in your face and not blink an eye. Many institutional bank traders have baulked in the face of his tsunami threats for he has become a master of psychology in understanding when to enter his trades when the bank traders are flat out of ideas and inspiration behind the day's prices.
How did he get to where he is now and more importantly what skills enabled him to become such an enormous trader?
Before I go through his trading techniques I want my readers to understand that no individual has any extraordinary gift for trading. The principles of trading are a set of skills that will help you to succeed. They can be learned as much as a child learns to ride a bicycle. But it takes time and considerable practice. it may sound incredible that a Tokyo video gamer has recently become a giant in the world of trading. When I recall the days I spent myself in the arcades, I don't think it's surprising at all.
Legal Disclaimer -
http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com// and any website and social media associated with this blog and Bruno Bernard bears no responsibility for the trading actions of its readers. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please read in full - http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer.html
Sunday, August 28, 2016
Pachinko FX
Pachinko パチンコ is a Japanese arcade game very popular among young adults. It was first played in Japan in the 1920's as a pin ball game where the metal balls would fall vertically through obstacles to reach the bottom of the tray. The player can win more balls by hitting certain slots. The objective is to stay as long as possible in the game to win a jackpot payout.
Pachinko requires a great deal of patience and skill to reach the jackpot. It is the same skills and mindset that completes the modern FX trader.
In the following articles I'm going to take you into the techniques of day traders and how an extraordinary new, young group of traders are taking the trading world by storm and trading the world financial markets in their legions and defying all the odds and the traditional banking world.
Legal Disclaimer -
http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com// and any website and social media associated with this blog and Bruno Bernard bears no responsibility for the trading actions of its readers. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please read in full - http://pachinkotrader.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer.html
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